Football · Venezuela Cup · 19/08, 22:00
Prediction: Monagas vs Mineros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Monagas2.21
Mineros0.82
1X2
Monagas
Draw
Mineros
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Monagas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mineros
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monagas
4–2
Mineros
(6 last)
- Mineros2-3Monagas
- Monagas1-0Mineros
- Mineros2-1Monagas
- Monagas3-1Mineros
- Monagas1-2Mineros
- Mineros1-3Monagas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monagas 1484 · Mineros 1455
| Monagas | Draw | Mineros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Monagas: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monagas | Mineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas 4–0–2 Mineros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/25 Venezuela Cup | Mineros | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Monagas |
| 04/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Monagas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mineros |
| 30/09/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Mineros | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Monagas |
| 12/02/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Mineros |
| 19/09/22 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mineros |
| 26/02/22 Venezuela Primera Division | Mineros | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Monagas |
Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bolivar SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monagas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/06 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/03 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Mineros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monagas vs Mineros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monagas win (68%). Probabilities: Monagas 68%, draw 20%, Mineros 12%.
How many goals are expected in Monagas vs Mineros?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Monagas 2.21 · Mineros 0.82), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Monagas vs Mineros?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.