Football · Venezuela Cup · 19/08, 21:30

Prediction: Atletico Barinas vs Zamora

Team pages: Atletico Barinas · Zamora

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Atletico Barinas1.45
Zamora2.24
1X2
23% 23% 54%
Atletico Barinas Draw Zamora
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Barinas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLWLLL
Zamora 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDDWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Barinas 1489 · Zamora 1502
Atletico BarinasDrawZamora
Our model24%22%54%
Market23%24%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico BarinasZamora
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 2.21.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.52.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.15.8 / 0.1

Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Zamora 110 613
2 Atletico Barinas 110 103
3 Real Frontera 101 010
4 Atletico El Vigia 101 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Barinas

WLWWWLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Barquisimeto
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-2 1-5 33 L
09/08 Zamora II
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-3 2-3 64 L
02/08 Academia Puerto Cabello II
Venezuela Segunda Division
2-3 3-5 46 L
29/07 Real Frontera
Venezuela Segunda Division
2-0 3-1 54 W
25/07 CD Lara
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-0 1-4 25 L
24/06 Real Frontera
Venezuela Cup
0-0 1-0 44 W
06/06 Yaracuyanos
Venezuela Segunda Division
2-0 2-1 33 W
31/05 Atletico El Vigia
Venezuela Segunda Division
2-0 7-1 72 W
20/05 Urena SC
Venezuela Segunda Division
0-0 0-1 72 L
16/05 Barquisimeto
Venezuela Segunda Division
1-0 2-1 47 W

Zamora

WWDDDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuela Primera Division
0-4 1-6 24 L
09/08 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 23 L
06/08 Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 79 L
02/08 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 2-1 91 W
24/06 Atletico El Vigia
Venezuela Cup
4-1 6-1 75 W
25/04 Academia Anzoategui FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-1 410 D
20/04 Caracas
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 1-1 75 D
12/04 Metropolitanos FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-0 37 D
04/04 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 2-1 46 W
22/03 Trujillanos
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 3-0 39 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Barinas vs Zamora?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zamora win (54%). Probabilities: Atletico Barinas 23%, draw 23%, Zamora 54%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Barinas vs Zamora?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Atletico Barinas 1.45 · Zamora 2.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Barinas vs Zamora?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.