Prediction: Police FC vs Al Merrikh
Team pages: Police FC · Al Merrikh
- Police FC0-1Al Merrikh
- Al Merrikh1-1Police FC
| Police FC | Draw | Al Merrikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 40% | 32% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Police FC | Al Merrikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.6 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Police FC 0–1–1 Al Merrikh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Rwanda National League | Police FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Merrikh |
| 08/01/26 Rwanda National League | Al Merrikh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Police FC |
Standings · Rwanda National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorilla FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Mukura | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gicumbi FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Marines FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Amagaju | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Sunrise FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Musanze FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Gasogi Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | SC Kiyovu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Police FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | APR FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Etoile de L'Est | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Merrikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayon Sports FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Police FC | Al Merrikh |
|---|---|---|
| Gorilla FC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Mukura | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gicumbi FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| SC Kiyovu | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Police FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Musanze FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Sunrise FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/09 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/09 | Gicumbi FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Musanze FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Al Merrikh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Amagaju Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | APR FC Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Amagaju Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Gicumbi FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Bugesera Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Rutsiro FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Police FC vs Al Merrikh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Police FC 31%, draw 36%, Al Merrikh 34%.
How many goals are expected in Police FC vs Al Merrikh?
The model expects 1.48 goals (Police FC 0.71 · Al Merrikh 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Police FC vs Al Merrikh?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.