Football · Rwanda National League · 04/11, 17:30

Prediction: Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports FC

Team pages: Al Hilal Omdurman · Rayon Sports FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Al Hilal Omdurman1.41

Rayon Sports FC0.67

1X2

55% 28% 17%

Al Hilal Omdurman Draw Rayon Sports FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Hilal Omdurman 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLWLW

Rayon Sports FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Al Hilal Omdurman 1–3–1 Rayon Sports FC (5 last)

Al Hilal Omdurman0-1Rayon Sports FC
Rayon Sports FC1-1Al Hilal Omdurman
Rayon Sports FC0-4Al Hilal Omdurman
Al Hilal Omdurman0-0Rayon Sports FC
Rayon Sports FC1-1Al Hilal Omdurman

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Hilal Omdurman 1606 · Rayon Sports FC 1515

	Al Hilal Omdurman	Draw	Rayon Sports FC
Our model	54%	30%	16%
Market	55%	27%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Omdurman (rating 1606 vs 1515).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Hilal Omdurman	Rayon Sports FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.30

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +7’	1.61	3.30	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hilal Omdurman 1–3–1 Rayon Sports FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 CECAFA Club Cup	Al Hilal Omdurman	0-1 HT 0-1	Rayon Sports FC
25/02/26 Rwanda National League	Rayon Sports FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Hilal Omdurman
17/01/26 Rwanda National League	Rayon Sports FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Al Hilal Omdurman
25/08/19 CAF Champions League	Al Hilal Omdurman	0-0 HT 0-0	Rayon Sports FC
11/08/19 CAF Champions League	Rayon Sports FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Al Hilal Omdurman

Standings · Rwanda National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gorilla FC	7	3	3	1	5	3	12
2	Marines FC	7	3	2	2	14	8	11
3	Mukura	6	3	2	1	7	4	11
4	Gicumbi FC	6	3	1	2	5	4	10
5	Musanze FC	6	3	0	3	6	6	9
6	Sunrise FC	7	1	5	1	4	7	8
7	Rayon Sports FC	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
8	Amagaju	7	2	1	4	9	8	7
9	SC Kiyovu	5	2	1	2	3	2	7
10	Police FC	7	2	1	4	3	6	7
11	Etincelles	6	2	1	3	2	8	7
12	APR FC	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
13	Bugesera	4	2	0	2	4	2	6
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
15	Gasogi Utd	7	1	3	3	4	9	6
16	Al Merrikh	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
17	Etoile de L'Est	6	0	4	2	4	7	4
18	AS Kigali	5	1	1	3	1	6	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Hilal Omdurman	Rayon Sports FC
Marines FC	0-3 L	2-1 W
AS Muhanga	2-0 W	0-1 L
APR FC	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Hilal Omdurman (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Hilal Omdurman

WWWWDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
28/10	Marines FC Rwanda National League	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
16/09	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
30/05	Etincelles Rwanda National League	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
22/05	Al Merrikh Rwanda National League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	Police FC Rwanda National League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Muhanga Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
07/05	APR FC Rwanda National League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W

Rayon Sports FC

DLWDWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Marines FC Rwanda National League	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
28/10	Musanze FC Rwanda National League	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
09/10	Gorilla FC Rwanda National League	0-0	0-1	6	11	L
17/09	Sunrise FC Rwanda National League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/05	SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
26/05	Bugesera Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
15/05	Gorilla FC Rwanda National League	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
09/05	Marines FC Rwanda National League	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
06/05	AS Muhanga Rwanda National League	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
02/05	APR FC Rwanda National League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Hilal Omdurman win (55%). Probabilities: Al Hilal Omdurman 55%, draw 28%, Rayon Sports FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports FC?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Al Hilal Omdurman 1.41 · Rayon Sports FC 0.67), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.