Football · Rwanda National League · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: Amagaju vs Musanze FC
Team pages: Amagaju · Musanze FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Amagaju1.08
Musanze FC0.81
1X2
Amagaju
Draw
Musanze FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Amagaju
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Musanze FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Amagaju
1–5
Musanze FC
(6 last)
- Musanze FC0-2Amagaju
- Amagaju0-2Musanze FC
- Musanze FC1-0Amagaju
- Amagaju0-3Musanze FC
- Musanze FC2-1Amagaju
- Amagaju0-2Musanze FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amagaju 1494 · Musanze FC 1479
| Amagaju | Draw | Musanze FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Musanze FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amagaju | Musanze FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amagaju 1–0–5 Musanze FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Amagaju |
| 01/11/25 Rwanda National League | Amagaju | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Musanze FC |
| 29/03/25 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Amagaju |
| 21/09/24 Rwanda National League | Amagaju | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Musanze FC |
| 27/04/24 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Amagaju |
| 05/12/23 Rwanda National League | Amagaju | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Musanze FC |
Standings · Rwanda National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marines FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Gorilla FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Mukura | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Gicumbi FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Amagaju | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Sunrise FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Musanze FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Gasogi Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Rayon Sports FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Merrikh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Kiyovu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Police FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | APR FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Etoile de L'Est | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amagaju
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Sunrise FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Al Merrikh Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Gicumbi FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Etoile de L'Est Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | AS Muhanga Rwanda National League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Merrikh Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rutsiro FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Musanze FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Rayon Sports FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Police FC Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Etincelles Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | AS Kigali Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Marines FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Police FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Rutsiro FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amagaju vs Musanze FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Amagaju win (41%). Probabilities: Amagaju 41%, draw 33%, Musanze FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Amagaju vs Musanze FC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Amagaju 1.08 · Musanze FC 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Amagaju vs Musanze FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.