Football · Rwanda National League · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: Marines FC vs Al Hilal Omdurman

Team pages: Marines FC · Al Hilal Omdurman

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Marines FC0.97

Al Hilal Omdurman1.65

1X2

21% 27% 52%

Marines FC Draw Al Hilal Omdurman

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Marines FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWLDWD

Al Hilal Omdurman 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Marines FC 0–2–0 Al Hilal Omdurman (2 last)

Al Hilal Omdurman1-1Marines FC
Marines FC2-2Al Hilal Omdurman

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marines FC 1521 · Al Hilal Omdurman 1634

	Marines FC	Draw	Al Hilal Omdurman
Our model	21%	27%	52%
Market	21%	27%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Omdurman (rating 1521 vs 1634).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marines FC	Al Hilal Omdurman
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	56/44/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.30

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +16’	4.33	3.30	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marines FC 0–2–0 Al Hilal Omdurman

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Rwanda National League	Al Hilal Omdurman	1-1 HT 1-1	Marines FC
21/12/25 Rwanda National League	Marines FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Al Hilal Omdurman

Standings · Rwanda National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gorilla FC	6	3	2	1	4	2	11
2	Mukura	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
3	Gicumbi FC	5	3	0	2	5	4	9
4	Marines FC	5	2	2	1	10	6	8
5	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	8	5	7
6	Sunrise FC	6	1	4	1	4	7	7
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2	6	7
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4	1	6
9	Musanze FC	4	2	0	2	3	2	6
10	Gasogi Utd	6	1	3	2	4	7	6
11	SC Kiyovu	4	1	1	2	1	2	4
12	Police FC	5	1	1	3	2	5	4
13	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	1	4	4
14	APR FC	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
15	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
16	Etoile de L'Est	5	0	3	2	3	6	3
17	Al Merrikh	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports FC	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marines FC	Al Hilal Omdurman
Gasogi Utd	2-2 D	2-1 W
Etincelles	4-0 W	1-2 L
APR FC	2-4 L	4-0 W
AS Kigali	2-0 W	2-0 W
AS Muhanga	3-2 W	2-0 W
Musanze FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Hilal Omdurman (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marines FC

WLLDWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
17/10	Etincelles Rwanda National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
10/10	SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
16/09	APR FC Rwanda National League	2-1	2-4	5	3	L
06/09	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	2-0	2-0	9	5	W
30/05	AS Muhanga Rwanda National League	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
24/05	Musanze FC Rwanda National League	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
16/05	Etincelles Rwanda National League	1-1	2-3	2	0	L
09/05	Rayon Sports FC Rwanda National League	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/05	Bugesera Rwanda National League	3-0	4-0	4	2	W

Al Hilal Omdurman

WWWWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
30/05	Etincelles Rwanda National League	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
22/05	Al Merrikh Rwanda National League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	Police FC Rwanda National League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Muhanga Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
07/05	APR FC Rwanda National League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/05	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
25/04	Musanze FC Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marines FC vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hilal Omdurman win (52%). Probabilities: Marines FC 21%, draw 27%, Al Hilal Omdurman 52%.

How many goals are expected in Marines FC vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Marines FC 0.97 · Al Hilal Omdurman 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Marines FC vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.