Football · Rwanda National League · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Gasogi Utd vs Al Hilal Omdurman

Team pages: Gasogi Utd · Al Hilal Omdurman

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Gasogi Utd0.92

Al Hilal Omdurman1.44

1X2

23% 28% 48%

Gasogi Utd Draw Al Hilal Omdurman

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gasogi Utd 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Al Hilal Omdurman 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gasogi Utd 0–3 Al Hilal Omdurman (3 last)

Al Hilal Omdurman2-1Gasogi Utd
Al Hilal Omdurman2-1Gasogi Utd
Gasogi Utd0-2Al Hilal Omdurman

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gasogi Utd 1442 · Al Hilal Omdurman 1610

	Gasogi Utd	Draw	Al Hilal Omdurman
Our model	23%	29%	48%
Market	24%	28%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Omdurman (rating 1442 vs 1610).
H2H favours Al Hilal Omdurman: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gasogi Utd	Al Hilal Omdurman
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/44/56%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.25

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +10’	3.80	3.25	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gasogi Utd 0–0–3 Al Hilal Omdurman

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Rwanda National League	Al Hilal Omdurman	2-1	Gasogi Utd
13/05/26 Rwanda National League	Al Hilal Omdurman	2-1 HT 1-0	Gasogi Utd
03/12/25 Rwanda National League	Gasogi Utd	0-2 HT 0-0	Al Hilal Omdurman

Standings · Rwanda National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marines FC	6	3	2	1	13	6	11
2	Gorilla FC	6	3	2	1	4	2	11
3	Mukura	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
4	Gicumbi FC	5	3	0	2	5	4	9
5	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	8	5	7
6	Sunrise FC	6	1	4	1	4	7	7
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2	6	7
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4	1	6
9	Musanze FC	5	2	0	3	3	5	6
10	Gasogi Utd	6	1	3	2	4	7	6
11	Rayon Sports FC	3	1	1	1	4	2	4
12	Al Merrikh	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
13	SC Kiyovu	4	1	1	2	1	2	4
14	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	1	4	4
15	Police FC	6	1	1	4	2	6	4
16	APR FC	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
17	Al Hilal Omdurman	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
18	Etoile de L'Est	5	0	3	2	3	6	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gasogi Utd	Al Hilal Omdurman
Marines FC	2-2 D	0-3 L
Police FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gasogi Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Marines FC Rwanda National League	0-1	2-2	3	4	D
21/10	Gorilla FC Rwanda National League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
18/10	Bugesera Rwanda National League	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
14/10	Sunrise FC Rwanda National League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Musanze FC Rwanda National League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
06/09	Mukura Rwanda National League	0-1	0-2	7	0	L
28/05	Police FC Rwanda National League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
17/05	Musanze FC Rwanda National League	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
13/05	Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
13/05	Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League	–	1-2	–	–	L

Al Hilal Omdurman

WWWWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Marines FC Rwanda National League	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
16/09	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
30/05	Etincelles Rwanda National League	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
22/05	Al Merrikh Rwanda National League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	Police FC Rwanda National League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/05	Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Muhanga Rwanda National League	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
07/05	APR FC Rwanda National League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/05	AS Kigali Rwanda National League	1-0	2-0	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gasogi Utd vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hilal Omdurman win (48%). Probabilities: Gasogi Utd 23%, draw 28%, Al Hilal Omdurman 48%.

How many goals are expected in Gasogi Utd vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Gasogi Utd 0.92 · Al Hilal Omdurman 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gasogi Utd vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.