Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare

Team pages: JK Tammeka Tartu · FC Kuressaare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

JK Tammeka Tartu1.76

FC Kuressaare1.23

1X2

49% 26% 26%

JK Tammeka Tartu Draw FC Kuressaare

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tammeka Tartu 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWLWW

FC Kuressaare 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWLWWW

Head-to-head

JK Tammeka Tartu 4–2 FC Kuressaare (6 last)

JK Tammeka Tartu1-0FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare3-2JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu0-1FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare0-2JK Tammeka Tartu
FC Kuressaare2-3JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu1-0FC Kuressaare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tammeka Tartu 1547 · FC Kuressaare 1529

	JK Tammeka Tartu	Draw	FC Kuressaare
Our model	49%	26%	26%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu: 4-0-2.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tammeka Tartu	FC Kuressaare
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 7.4	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:47 +1’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu 4–0–2 FC Kuressaare

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kuressaare
14/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Kuressaare	3-2 HT 1-2	JK Tammeka Tartu
26/09/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Kuressaare
11/07/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Kuressaare	0-2 HT 0-1	JK Tammeka Tartu
17/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Kuressaare	2-3 HT 2-2	JK Tammeka Tartu
22/04/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kuressaare

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	22	16	5	1	57	18	53
2	JK Nomme Kalju	23	13	5	5	43	18	44
3	FC Flora Tallinn	21	13	0	8	42	24	39
4	Paide Linnameeskond	22	10	6	6	34	29	36
5	JK Tammeka Tartu	20	9	2	9	23	31	29
6	Parnu JK Vaprus	22	8	3	11	30	42	27
7	JK Nomme United	23	8	1	14	40	54	25
8	Harju JK Laagri	23	8	1	14	33	40	25
9	FC Kuressaare	23	7	3	13	25	38	24
10	JK Trans Narva	23	5	2	16	18	51	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tammeka Tartu	FC Kuressaare
JK Nomme United	1-0 W	2-3 L
JK Nomme Kalju	1-5 L	0-0 D
Parnu JK Vaprus	1-5 L	0-1 L
Harju JK Laagri	2-1 W	3-2 W
JK Trans Narva	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JK Tammeka Tartu

WDWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/08	Rumori Calcio Estonia Cup	0-0	1-0	15	2	W
02/08	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-5	1-5	6	2	L
24/07	Tallinna FC Zealot Sporting Estonia Cup	9-0	19-0	12	0	W
11/07	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	1-3	1-5	8	6	L
05/07	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
21/06	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
17/06	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
13/06	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/05	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	3-1	4	4	W

FC Kuressaare

DLLLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	3-1	3-2	3	7	W
11/08	Kristiine JK Estonia Cup	4-0	8-0	8	0	W
07/08	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	3-2	7	6	W
02/08	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
23/07	Tartu JK Welco X Estonia Cup	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
19/07	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
11/07	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-3	6	2	L
02/07	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
26/06	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
16/06	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tammeka Tartu win (49%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu 49%, draw 26%, FC Kuressaare 26%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

The model expects 2.99 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu 1.76 · FC Kuressaare 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.