Football · Peru Liga 1 · 22/08, 22:00

Prediction: Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas

Team pages: Universitario de Deportes · CD Los Chankas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Universitario de Deportes2.33

CD Los Chankas0.58

1X2

76% 17% 7%

Universitario de Deportes Draw CD Los Chankas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Universitario de Deportes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWLDW

CD Los Chankas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWLWDL

Head-to-head

Universitario de Deportes 1–2–2 CD Los Chankas (5 last)

CD Los Chankas3-1Universitario de Deportes
CD Los Chankas3-1Universitario de Deportes
Universitario de Deportes0-0CD Los Chankas
CD Los Chankas0-0Universitario de Deportes
Universitario de Deportes4-0CD Los Chankas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitario de Deportes 1520 · CD Los Chankas 1509

	Universitario de Deportes	Draw	CD Los Chankas
Our model	76%	17%	7%
Market	76%	17%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Los Chankas: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universitario de Deportes	CD Los Chankas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X5.50

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +5’	1.20	5.50	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario de Deportes 1–2–2 CD Los Chankas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	3-1 HT 1-0	Universitario de Deportes
22/11/25 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	3-1 HT 2-0	Universitario de Deportes
12/07/25 Peru Liga 1	Universitario de Deportes	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Los Chankas
03/11/24 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	0-0 HT 0-0	Universitario de Deportes
25/05/24 Peru Liga 1	Universitario de Deportes	4-0 HT 2-0	CD Los Chankas

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	22	15	6	1	39	13	51
2	CD Los Chankas	22	12	5	5	31	30	41
3	FBC Melgar	22	11	5	6	39	26	38
4	Cienciano	21	11	3	7	37	28	36
5	Universitario de Deportes	21	10	6	5	29	20	36
6	Cusco FC	22	11	3	8	33	31	36
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	21	10	5	6	26	20	35
8	Sporting Cristal	22	8	5	9	37	34	29
9	Alianza Atletico	22	7	7	8	27	27	28
10	Sport Boys	21	7	6	8	19	21	27
11	Comerciantes Unidos	22	6	8	8	27	29	26
12	Atletico Grau	22	6	5	11	16	22	23
13	Sport Huancayo	22	6	5	11	28	38	23
14	AD Tarma	22	5	7	10	25	28	22
15	FC Cajamarca	21	5	6	10	30	36	21
16	Deportivo Moquegua	21	5	6	10	19	28	21
17	Juan Pablo II College	22	5	6	11	26	46	21
18	UTC Cajamarca	22	4	8	10	24	35	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Universitario de Deportes

DWLDWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
08/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
03/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
25/07	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
18/07	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/07	Millonarios America Friendlies	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
27/06	Atletico Grau Peru Copa de la Liga	1-0	1-1	8	11	D
13/06	Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-2	0	0	L
31/05	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	12	3	W
27/05	Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

CD Los Chankas

LDWWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
07/08	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
31/07	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	3-2	3-2	5	6	W
24/07	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
19/07	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
11/07	Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	1-3	2	3	L
28/06	Santos FC Peru Copa de la Liga	2-0	3-0	8	5	W
14/06	Ayacucho FC Peru Copa de la Liga	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
31/05	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
24/05	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario de Deportes win (76%). Probabilities: Universitario de Deportes 76%, draw 17%, CD Los Chankas 7%.

How many goals are expected in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Universitario de Deportes 2.33 · CD Los Chankas 0.58), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.