Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 01/09, 02:15
Prediction: CA Tigre vs Barracas Central
Team pages: CA Tigre · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
CA Tigre1.28
Barracas Central0.65
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
0–3–3
Barracas Central
(6 last)
- Barracas Central2-1CA Tigre
- CA Tigre2-2Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0CA Tigre
- Barracas Central0-0CA Tigre
- CA Tigre0-1Barracas Central
- CA Tigre1-1Barracas Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1487 · Barracas Central 1479
| CA Tigre | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 32% | 18% |
| Market | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 0–3–3 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 2-1 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
| 21/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Barracas Central |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Tigre |
| 02/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 17/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 11/06/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barracas Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | CA Tigre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Gimnasia LP | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Tigre | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Belgrano | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Racing Club | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Rosario Central | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 21/04 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Tigre win (51%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 51%, draw 32%, Barracas Central 18%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 1.93 goals (CA Tigre 1.28 · Barracas Central 0.65), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.