Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia
Team pages: Lanus · Defensa y Justicia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Lanus1.4
Defensa y Justicia0.75
1X2
Lanus
Draw
Defensa y Justicia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lanus
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Defensa y Justicia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lanus
1–4–1
Defensa y Justicia
(6 last)
- Defensa y Justicia1-1Lanus
- Lanus0-0Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia0-4Lanus
- Lanus0-2Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia2-2Lanus
- Lanus1-1Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanus 1456 · Defensa y Justicia 1468
| Lanus | Draw | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanus | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus 1–4–1 Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lanus |
| 25/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 03/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Lanus |
| 08/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Lanus | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 10/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Lanus |
| 11/06/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Newell's | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Deportivo Riestra | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lanus | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Estudiantes LP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lanus | Defensa y Justicia |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| CA Independiente | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lanus (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Union Santa Fe TEST Fixtures |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanus win (51%). Probabilities: Lanus 51%, draw 30%, Defensa y Justicia 19%.
How many goals are expected in Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Lanus 1.4 · Defensa y Justicia 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.