Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00

Prediction: Barracas Central vs Argentinos Jrs

Team pages: Barracas Central · Argentinos Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Barracas Central0.86

Argentinos Jrs1.24

1X2

24% 32% 44%

Barracas Central Draw Argentinos Jrs

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Barracas Central 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWLLL

Argentinos Jrs 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Barracas Central 2–3–1 Argentinos Jrs (6 last)

Argentinos Jrs1-1Barracas Central
Barracas Central2-0Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs3-0Barracas Central
Argentinos Jrs0-1Barracas Central
Argentinos Jrs3-3Barracas Central
Barracas Central1-1Argentinos Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barracas Central 1486 · Argentinos Jrs 1542

	Barracas Central	Draw	Argentinos Jrs
Our model	24%	32%	44%
Market	24%	32%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1486 vs 1542).
H2H favours Barracas Central: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barracas Central	Argentinos Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.6	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.80

X2.90

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +4’	3.80	2.90	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barracas Central 2–3–1 Argentinos Jrs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-1 HT 0-1	Barracas Central
01/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Barracas Central	2-0 HT 1-0	Argentinos Jrs
23/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	3-0 HT 2-0	Barracas Central
26/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	0-1 HT 0-1	Barracas Central
16/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	3-3 HT 3-1	Barracas Central
28/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Barracas Central	1-1 HT 0-0	Argentinos Jrs

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Argentinos Jrs	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
2	Sarmiento	7	4	0	3	13	12	12
3	Gimnasia LP	7	4	0	3	10	11	12
4	Belgrano	7	3	2	2	7	4	11
5	CA Tigre	6	3	2	1	6	3	11
6	Rosario Central	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
7	Atlético Tucumán	7	2	4	1	4	2	10
8	Huracan	7	2	3	2	5	5	9
9	Barracas Central	6	3	0	3	4	5	9
10	Independiente Rivadavia	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Banfield	6	2	1	3	5	7	7
12	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	7	1	3	3	3	7	6
13	Racing Club	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
14	River Plate	6	1	1	4	4	6	4
15	CA Aldosivi	6	0	2	4	4	9	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barracas Central	Argentinos Jrs
Gimnasia LP	0-2 L	0-2 L
River Plate	1-0 W	0-2 L
Racing Club	1-1 D	2-1 W
Belgrano	0-0 D	1-0 W
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Argentinos Jrs (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barracas Central

WDDLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
17/08	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
09/08	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
02/08	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/07	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
26/07	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
02/05	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
25/04	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
20/04	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
12/04	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	2-1	2	4	W

Argentinos Jrs

LWDDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
10/08	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
01/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/07	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
24/07	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	3-2	2	9	W
17/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
13/05	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
10/05	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
03/05	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	11	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barracas Central vs Argentinos Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Argentinos Jrs win (44%). Probabilities: Barracas Central 24%, draw 32%, Argentinos Jrs 44%.

How many goals are expected in Barracas Central vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Barracas Central 0.86 · Argentinos Jrs 1.24), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.