Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: Central Cordoba vs CA Independiente
Team pages: Central Cordoba · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Central Cordoba0.78
CA Independiente1.41
1X2
Central Cordoba
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba
1–2–3
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente2-0Central Cordoba
- CA Independiente2-0Central Cordoba
- CA Independiente0-0Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba0-1CA Independiente
- CA Independiente1-2Central Cordoba
- CA Independiente1-1Central Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba 1464 · CA Independiente 1524
| Central Cordoba | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 30% | 51% |
| Market | 20% | 30% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente (rating 1464 vs 1524).
- H2H favours CA Independiente: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba 1–2–3 CA Independiente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 01/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 16/08/23 Argentina Cup | CA Independiente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 17/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente |
| 06/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 15/03/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Newell's | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Deportivo Riestra | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lanus | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Estudiantes LP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Cordoba | CA Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Lanus | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Platense | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente win (51%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba 20%, draw 30%, CA Independiente 51%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Central Cordoba 0.78 · CA Independiente 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.