Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00

Prediction: Racing Club vs Atlético Tucumán

Team pages: Racing Club · Atlético Tucumán

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.75Total

Racing Club1.19

Atlético Tucumán0.56

1X2

52% 31% 17%

Racing Club Draw Atlético Tucumán

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Club 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWDLLLD

Atlético Tucumán 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDLWDD

Head-to-head

Racing Club 4–2 Atlético Tucumán (6 last)

Atlético Tucumán0-3Racing Club
Atlético Tucumán1-0Racing Club
Racing Club1-3Atlético Tucumán
Racing Club2-0Atlético Tucumán
Atlético Tucumán0-4Racing Club
Atlético Tucumán0-2Racing Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club 1523 · Atlético Tucumán 1530

	Racing Club	Draw	Atlético Tucumán
Our model	51%	33%	16%
Market	53%	29%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Club: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Club	Atlético Tucumán
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	2.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.25

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +4’	1.75	3.25	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 4–0–2 Atlético Tucumán

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	0-3 HT 0-1	Racing Club
02/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	1-0 HT 1-0	Racing Club
25/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	1-3 HT 0-1	Atlético Tucumán
11/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	2-0 HT 2-0	Atlético Tucumán
14/03/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	0-4 HT 0-1	Racing Club
07/11/21 Argentina Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	0-2 HT 0-0	Racing Club

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Argentinos Jrs	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
2	Sarmiento	7	4	0	3	13	12	12
3	Gimnasia LP	7	4	0	3	10	11	12
4	Belgrano	7	3	2	2	7	4	11
5	CA Tigre	6	3	2	1	6	3	11
6	Rosario Central	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
7	Atlético Tucumán	7	2	4	1	4	2	10
8	Huracan	7	2	3	2	5	5	9
9	Barracas Central	6	3	0	3	4	5	9
10	Independiente Rivadavia	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Banfield	6	2	1	3	5	7	7
12	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	7	1	3	3	3	7	6
13	Racing Club	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
14	River Plate	6	1	1	4	4	6	4
15	CA Aldosivi	6	0	2	4	4	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Club	Atlético Tucumán
Banfield	0-1 L	1-1 D
Argentinos Jrs	1-2 L	0-1 L
Huracan	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atlético Tucumán (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club

DDWDWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
10/08	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
02/08	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
29/07	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
25/07	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
13/05	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
10/05	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
03/05	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
25/04	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	2	5	D

Atlético Tucumán

LDWDWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/08	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
17/08	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
08/08	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-2	13	2	L
04/08	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/07	Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
26/07	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
03/05	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
27/04	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
19/04	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs Atlético Tucumán?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club win (52%). Probabilities: Racing Club 52%, draw 31%, Atlético Tucumán 17%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Atlético Tucumán?

The model expects 1.75 goals (Racing Club 1.19 · Atlético Tucumán 0.56), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Atlético Tucumán?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.