Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 01/09, 02:15
Prediction: Instituto AC Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
Team pages: Instituto AC Cordoba · San Lorenzo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.6Total
Instituto AC Cordoba1.01
San Lorenzo0.58
1X2
Instituto AC Cordoba
Draw
San Lorenzo
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Instituto AC Cordoba
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Instituto AC Cordoba
1–1–4
San Lorenzo
(6 last)
- San Lorenzo1-1Instituto AC Cordoba
- San Lorenzo1-0Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba0-1San Lorenzo
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-0San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo2-0Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba1-2San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Instituto AC Cordoba 1565 · San Lorenzo 1468
| Instituto AC Cordoba | Draw | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 37% | 20% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.6 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Instituto AC Cordoba (rating 1565 vs 1468).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Instituto AC Cordoba | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Instituto AC Cordoba 1–1–4 San Lorenzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 18/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo |
| 20/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 06/08/15 Argentina Cup | Instituto AC Cordoba | 1-2 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Newell's | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes LP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Instituto AC Cordoba | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Lanus | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Platense | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Velez Sarsfield | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Instituto AC Cordoba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 29/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Instituto AC Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Instituto AC Cordoba win (45%). Probabilities: Instituto AC Cordoba 45%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 21%.
How many goals are expected in Instituto AC Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
The model expects 1.6 goals (Instituto AC Cordoba 1.01 · San Lorenzo 0.58), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Instituto AC Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.