Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 01/09, 00:00
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs Platense
Team pages: Defensa y Justicia · Platense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Defensa y Justicia1.38
Platense1.17
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Platense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Platense
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
2–2–2
Platense
(6 last)
- Platense0-0Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-2Platense
- Platense0-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-3Platense
- Defensa y Justicia3-0Platense
- Platense0-0Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1470 · Platense 1489
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Platense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 2–2–2 Platense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 15/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Platense |
| 05/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 29/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Platense |
| 31/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Platense |
| 27/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Newell's | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes LP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensa y Justicia | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Boca Juniors | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Independiente | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Platense (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensa y Justicia win (39%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 39%, draw 31%, Platense 30%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.38 · Platense 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs Platense?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.