Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 30/08, 20:00
Prediction: Banfield vs River Plate
Team pages: Banfield · River Plate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Banfield0.72
River Plate1.45
1X2
Banfield
Draw
River Plate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
River Plate
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
0–2–4
River Plate
(6 last)
- River Plate3-1Banfield
- River Plate3-1Banfield
- River Plate1-1Banfield
- Banfield1-1River Plate
- Banfield1-4River Plate
- Banfield2-3River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1484 · River Plate 1473
| Banfield | Draw | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 29% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 30% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours River Plate: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 0–2–4 River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Banfield |
| 02/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 18/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | River Plate | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 25/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-1 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
| 13/06/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-4 HT 1-2 | River Plate |
| 23/02/23 Argentina Trophy of Champions | Banfield | 2-3 HT 0-2 | River Plate |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarmiento | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Atlético Tucumán | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Belgrano | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Barracas Central | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Atlético Tucumán | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Banfield (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 30/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs River Plate?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate win (53%). Probabilities: Banfield 17%, draw 30%, River Plate 53%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs River Plate?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Banfield 0.72 · River Plate 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs River Plate?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.