Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 30/08, 02:30
Prediction: Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano
Team pages: Atlético Tucumán · Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Atlético Tucumán0.92
Belgrano0.9
1X2
Atlético Tucumán
Draw
Belgrano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Tucumán
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Belgrano
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlético Tucumán
1–2–3
Belgrano
(6 last)
- Belgrano3-1Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán2-4Belgrano
- Belgrano1-0Atlético Tucumán
- Belgrano1-3Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán0-0Belgrano
- Atlético Tucumán0-0Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlético Tucumán 1533 · Belgrano 1540
| Atlético Tucumán | Draw | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Belgrano: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlético Tucumán | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Tucumán 1–2–3 Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 23/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Belgrano |
| 06/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 23/11/18 Argentina Superliga | Belgrano | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 30/09/17 Argentina Superliga | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 27/11/16 Argentina Superliga | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarmiento | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Atlético Tucumán | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlético Tucumán | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Rivadavia | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Banfield | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Tigre | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlético Tucumán win (34%). Probabilities: Atlético Tucumán 34%, draw 34%, Belgrano 33%.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Atlético Tucumán 0.92 · Belgrano 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.