Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Giugliano1.27
Sorrento Calcio1.05
1X2
41% 30% 30%
Giugliano Draw Sorrento Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Giugliano 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDDDL
Sorrento Calcio 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLDLWLDD
Head-to-head
Giugliano 2–4 Sorrento Calcio (6 last)
  • Sorrento Calcio1-0Giugliano
  • Giugliano0-1Sorrento Calcio
  • Giugliano5-0Sorrento Calcio
  • Sorrento Calcio3-0Giugliano
  • Sorrento Calcio2-0Giugliano
  • Giugliano1-0Sorrento Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giugliano 1471 · Sorrento Calcio 1463
GiuglianoDrawSorrento Calcio
Our model40%31%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sorrento Calcio: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GiuglianoSorrento Calcio
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 10.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.92.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 04.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Giugliano 204 Sorrento Calcio

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio1-0
HT 1-0
Giugliano
29/09/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Giugliano0-1
HT 0-0
Sorrento Calcio
12/04/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Giugliano5-0
HT 2-0
Sorrento Calcio
02/12/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio3-0
HT 2-0
Giugliano
07/01/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio2-0
HT 1-0
Giugliano
01/09/23
Italy Serie C Group C
Giugliano1-0
HT 0-0
Sorrento Calcio

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGiuglianoSorrento Calcio
Casertana 1-1 D 0-2 L
Benevento 1-1 D 0-2 L
Team Altamura 1-1 D 2-0 W
Crotone 1-0 W 2-2 D
Audace Cerignola 0-1 L 2-3 L
Atalanta U23 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Giugliano (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giugliano

WLWLLWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Ischia
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 100 L
26/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 43 D
12/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 144 D
06/04 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 32 W
29/03 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 13 L
22/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 31 L
14/03 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-1 23 W
08/03 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 52 L
05/03 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 36 W

Sorrento Calcio

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 D
19/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 25 D
12/04 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 62 L
06/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 65 W
30/03 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 89 L
22/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 23 D
15/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-3 27 L
08/03 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-2 42 L
05/03 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 25 L
01/03 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-3 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giugliano win (41%). Probabilities: Giugliano 41%, draw 30%, Sorrento Calcio 30%.

How many goals are expected in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Giugliano 1.27 · Sorrento Calcio 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.