Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
US Latina Calcio1.58
AS Ostia Mare1.21
1X2
US Latina Calcio
Draw
AS Ostia Mare
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
US Latina Calcio
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
AS Ostia Mare
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Latina Calcio
1–3–2
AS Ostia Mare
(6 last)
- US Latina Calcio1-2AS Ostia Mare
- AS Ostia Mare2-2US Latina Calcio
- AS Ostia Mare0-0US Latina Calcio
- US Latina Calcio0-1AS Ostia Mare
- AS Ostia Mare1-1US Latina Calcio
- US Latina Calcio3-0AS Ostia Mare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Latina Calcio 1513 · AS Ostia Mare 1502
| US Latina Calcio | Draw | AS Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AS Ostia Mare: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Latina Calcio | AS Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Latina Calcio 1–3–2 AS Ostia Mare
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/20 Italy Serie D | US Latina Calcio | 1-2 HT 1-1 | AS Ostia Mare |
| 01/09/19 Italy Serie D | AS Ostia Mare | 2-2 HT 1-0 | US Latina Calcio |
| 17/02/19 Italy Serie D | AS Ostia Mare | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Latina Calcio |
| 28/10/18 Italy Serie D | US Latina Calcio | 0-1 | AS Ostia Mare |
| 28/01/18 Italy Serie D | AS Ostia Mare | 1-1 | US Latina Calcio |
| 24/09/17 Italy Serie D | US Latina Calcio | 3-0 | AS Ostia Mare |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Latina Calcio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 5-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 28/03 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
AS Ostia Mare
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Lazio Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Benevento Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Grosseto Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Sammaurese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/03 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare?
According to our model, the most likely result is a US Latina Calcio win (44%). Probabilities: US Latina Calcio 44%, draw 28%, AS Ostia Mare 28%.
How many goals are expected in US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare?
The model expects 2.79 goals (US Latina Calcio 1.58 · AS Ostia Mare 1.21), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.