Prediction: Alcione Milano vs Novara
- Novara3-0Alcione Milano
- Alcione Milano0-1Novara
- Novara1-1Alcione Milano
- Alcione Milano2-1Novara
| Alcione Milano | Draw | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Novara (rating 1434 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Novara: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alcione Milano | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.6 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alcione Milano 1–1–2 Novara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Alcione Milano |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Alcione Milano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Novara |
| 09/02/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alcione Milano |
| 28/09/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Alcione Milano | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Novara |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alcione Milano | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Lecco | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alcione Milano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | AC Reggiana Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/07 | Mantova Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Torino Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Novara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Virtus Entella Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Sampdoria Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Inter Milan U23 Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alcione Milano vs Novara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alcione Milano win (42%). Probabilities: Alcione Milano 42%, draw 30%, Novara 28%.
How many goals are expected in Alcione Milano vs Novara?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Alcione Milano 1.28 · Novara 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alcione Milano vs Novara?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.