Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Pescara vs Sambenedettese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Pescara2.08
Sambenedettese0.87
1X2
Pescara
Draw
Sambenedettese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Pescara
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Sambenedettese
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pescara 1502 · Sambenedettese 1522
| Pescara | Draw | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pescara | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pescara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lanciano Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Sambenedettese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lanciano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Frosinone Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Avellino Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/03 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pescara win (64%). Probabilities: Pescara 64%, draw 22%, Sambenedettese 14%.
How many goals are expected in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Pescara 2.08 · Sambenedettese 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.