Prediction: Zaqatala vs Baku Sporting FC
Team pages: Zaqatala
- Baku Sporting FC3-0Zaqatala
- Baku Sporting FC2-1Zaqatala
- Zaqatala1-1Baku Sporting FC
- Zaqatala6-1Baku Sporting FC
- Baku Sporting FC0-0Zaqatala
- Zaqatala2-0Baku Sporting FC
| Zaqatala | Draw | Baku Sporting FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baku Sporting FC (rating 1446 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zaqatala | Baku Sporting FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaqatala 2–2–2 Baku Sporting FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Baku Sporting FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Zaqatala |
| 24/12/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Baku Sporting FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zaqatala |
| 02/10/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Zaqatala | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Baku Sporting FC |
| 10/04/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Zaqatala | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Baku Sporting FC |
| 07/02/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Baku Sporting FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zaqatala |
| 18/10/24 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Zaqatala | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Baku Sporting FC |
Standings · Azerbaijan Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Karvan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Cebrayil FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Sahdag Qusar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Energetik Mingechevir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Zaqatala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Khankendi FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Sabail FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Simal FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Moik Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zaqatala | Baku Sporting FC |
|---|---|---|
| Energetik Mingechevir | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Safa Baku | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sabail FC | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Sahdag Qusar | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Moik Baku | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Cebrayil FK | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Difai FK | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Simal FK | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Baku Sporting FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zaqatala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Baku Sporting FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-7 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/03 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Baku Sporting FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 07/05 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 08/04 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/03 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zaqatala vs Baku Sporting FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Baku Sporting FC win (42%). Probabilities: Zaqatala 30%, draw 29%, Baku Sporting FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Zaqatala vs Baku Sporting FC?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Zaqatala 1.11 · Baku Sporting FC 1.36), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zaqatala vs Baku Sporting FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.