Football · Azerbaijan Division 1 · 17/09, 14:30
Prediction: Energetik Mingechevir vs Cebrayil FK
Team pages: Energetik Mingechevir · Cebrayil FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Energetik Mingechevir2.29
Cebrayil FK1.42
1X2
Energetik Mingechevir
Draw
Cebrayil FK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Energetik Mingechevir
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Cebrayil FK
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Energetik Mingechevir
2–1–3
Cebrayil FK
(6 last)
- Cebrayil FK2-1Energetik Mingechevir
- Energetik Mingechevir2-0Cebrayil FK
- Cebrayil FK1-3Energetik Mingechevir
- Cebrayil FK2-0Energetik Mingechevir
- Energetik Mingechevir0-0Cebrayil FK
- Cebrayil FK3-0Energetik Mingechevir
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Energetik Mingechevir (rating 1543 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Cebrayil FK: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Energetik Mingechevir | Cebrayil FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Energetik Mingechevir 2–1–3 Cebrayil FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Cebrayil FK | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Energetik Mingechevir |
| 10/12/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Energetik Mingechevir | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cebrayil FK |
| 17/09/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Cebrayil FK | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Energetik Mingechevir |
| 17/04/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Cebrayil FK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Energetik Mingechevir |
| 13/02/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Energetik Mingechevir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cebrayil FK |
| 24/10/24 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Cebrayil FK | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Energetik Mingechevir |
Standings · Azerbaijan Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Sahdag Qusar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Cebrayil FK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Zaqatala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sabail FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FK Karvan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Energetik Mingechevir | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Khankendi FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Simal FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Moik Baku | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Energetik Mingechevir | Cebrayil FK |
|---|---|---|
| Sabail FC | 1-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Zaqatala | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Moik Baku | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Sahdag Qusar | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Simal FK | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Safa Baku | 5-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Energetik Mingechevir (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Energetik Mingechevir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 9 | L |
| 29/04 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 7-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/04 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Cebrayil FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Khankendi FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 04/09 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/05 | Baku Sporting FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/04 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Energetik Mingechevir vs Cebrayil FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Energetik Mingechevir win (56%). Probabilities: Energetik Mingechevir 56%, draw 21%, Cebrayil FK 22%.
How many goals are expected in Energetik Mingechevir vs Cebrayil FK?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Energetik Mingechevir 2.29 · Cebrayil FK 1.42), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Energetik Mingechevir vs Cebrayil FK?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.