Prediction: Baku Sporting FC vs Sabail FC
Team pages: Baku Sporting FC · Sabail FC
- Sabail FC1-0Baku Sporting FC
- Sabail FC0-0Baku Sporting FC
- Baku Sporting FC0-0Sabail FC
| Baku Sporting FC | Draw | Sabail FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabail FC (rating 1475 vs 1556).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baku Sporting FC | Sabail FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.2 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baku Sporting FC 0–2–1 Sabail FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Sabail FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Baku Sporting FC |
| 24/02/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Sabail FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Baku Sporting FC |
| 21/11/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Baku Sporting FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sabail FC |
Standings · Azerbaijan Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Sahdag Qusar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Cebrayil FK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Zaqatala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sabail FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FK Karvan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Energetik Mingechevir | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Khankendi FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Simal FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Moik Baku | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baku Sporting FC | Sabail FC |
|---|---|---|
| Zaqatala | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FK Sahdag Qusar | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Cebrayil FK | 3-2 W | 6-0 W |
| Difai FK | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Simal FK | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Safa Baku | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sabail FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baku Sporting FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/09 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 07/05 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 08/04 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Sabail FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Khankendi FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | Simal FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/04 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Baku Sporting FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baku Sporting FC vs Sabail FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sabail FC win (53%). Probabilities: Baku Sporting FC 20%, draw 27%, Sabail FC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Baku Sporting FC vs Sabail FC?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Baku Sporting FC 0.81 · Sabail FC 1.48), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Baku Sporting FC vs Sabail FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.