Prediction: Matagalpa FC vs San Marcos FC
Team pages: Matagalpa FC · San Marcos FC
- Matagalpa FC4-1San Marcos FC
| Matagalpa FC | Draw | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Marcos FC (rating 1456 vs 1506).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matagalpa FC | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matagalpa FC 1–0–0 San Marcos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/21 Nicaragua Segunda Division | Matagalpa FC | 4-1 HT 0-1 | San Marcos FC |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Esteli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Diriangen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | UNAN Managua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | CD Walter Ferretti | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | San Marcos FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 | Matagalpa FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Matagalpa FC | San Marcos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Managua FC | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Diriangen | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Marcos FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matagalpa FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Jalapa Nicaragua Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
San Marcos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 19/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Pumas Dario FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Pumas Dario FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matagalpa FC vs San Marcos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matagalpa FC win (53%). Probabilities: Matagalpa FC 53%, draw 25%, San Marcos FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Matagalpa FC vs San Marcos FC?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Matagalpa FC 1.71 · San Marcos FC 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Matagalpa FC vs San Marcos FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.