Prediction: Rancho Santana FC vs San Marcos FC
Team pages: Rancho Santana FC · San Marcos FC
- San Marcos FC1-2Rancho Santana FC
| Rancho Santana FC | Draw | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Marcos FC (rating 1417 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rancho Santana FC | San Marcos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.5 | 6.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rancho Santana FC 1–0–0 San Marcos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/21 Nicaragua Segunda Division | San Marcos FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | UNAN Managua | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Real Esteli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | CD Walter Ferretti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Matagalpa FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | San Marcos FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 10 | Rancho Santana FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rancho Santana FC | San Marcos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Diriangen | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| UNAN Managua | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Managua FC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Marcos FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rancho Santana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 06/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
San Marcos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 10/08 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Matiguas FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 19/04 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Pumas Dario FC Nicaragua Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rancho Santana FC vs San Marcos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rancho Santana FC win (36%). Probabilities: Rancho Santana FC 36%, draw 29%, San Marcos FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Rancho Santana FC vs San Marcos FC?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Rancho Santana FC 1.23 · San Marcos FC 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rancho Santana FC vs San Marcos FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.