Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 23/08, 03:00
Prediction: Real Esteli vs Diriangen
Team pages: Real Esteli · Diriangen
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Real Esteli1.31
Diriangen0.97
1X2
Real Esteli
Draw
Diriangen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Esteli
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Diriangen
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Esteli
0–5–1
Diriangen
(6 last)
- Diriangen1-1Real Esteli
- Real Esteli1-1Diriangen
- Diriangen1-0Real Esteli
- Real Esteli1-1Diriangen
- Real Esteli0-0Diriangen
- Diriangen1-1Real Esteli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Esteli 1558 · Diriangen 1532
| Real Esteli | Draw | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Esteli | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 6.4 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Esteli 0–5–1 Diriangen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Esteli |
| 10/05/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Diriangen |
| 12/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Real Esteli |
| 12/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Diriangen |
| 26/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Real Esteli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
| 25/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Diriangen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real Esteli |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | UNAN Managua | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Real Esteli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | CD Walter Ferretti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Matagalpa FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | San Marcos FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 10 | Rancho Santana FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Esteli | Diriangen |
|---|---|---|
| CD Walter Ferretti | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Matagalpa FC | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| UNAN Managua | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Managua FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Esteli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 28/11 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/11 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/11 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 03/11 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/10 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Diriangen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 24/07 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 21/12 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 23/11 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/11 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/11 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/10 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/10 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Esteli vs Diriangen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Esteli win (44%). Probabilities: Real Esteli 44%, draw 29%, Diriangen 27%.
How many goals are expected in Real Esteli vs Diriangen?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Real Esteli 1.31 · Diriangen 0.97), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Esteli vs Diriangen?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.