Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 24/08, 03:00

Prediction: CD Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua

Team pages: CD Walter Ferretti · UNAN Managua

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

CD Walter Ferretti1.69

UNAN Managua1.17

1X2

49% 26% 25%

CD Walter Ferretti Draw UNAN Managua

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD Walter Ferretti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLWLW

UNAN Managua 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWDWW

Head-to-head

CD Walter Ferretti 4–1–1 UNAN Managua (6 last)

CD Walter Ferretti2-0UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua0-0CD Walter Ferretti
UNAN Managua1-4CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti3-0UNAN Managua
CD Walter Ferretti3-0UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua1-0CD Walter Ferretti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Walter Ferretti 1504 · UNAN Managua 1491

	CD Walter Ferretti	Draw	UNAN Managua
Our model	48%	26%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Walter Ferretti: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Walter Ferretti	UNAN Managua
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	1.1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.10 → 3.50▲	Pinn 4.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:47 +17’	2.00	3.40	3.10
03:28 +9’	1.83▼	3.50▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:36 +1’	1.75	3.50	4.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Walter Ferretti 4–1–1 UNAN Managua

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	2-0 HT 1-0	UNAN Managua
19/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti
21/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	UNAN Managua	1-4 HT 1-1	CD Walter Ferretti
18/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	3-0 HT 1-0	UNAN Managua
20/03/25 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	3-0 HT 2-0	UNAN Managua
25/01/25 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	4	4	0	0	12	2	12
2	UNAN Managua	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
3	Real Esteli	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
4	HYH Export Sebaco FC	4	3	1	0	6	1	10
5	Diriangen	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
6	CD Walter Ferretti	5	2	0	3	9	10	6
7	Jalapa	5	1	0	4	2	7	3
8	Matagalpa FC	5	1	0	4	2	12	3
9	San Marcos FC	5	0	2	3	3	8	2
10	Rancho Santana FC	5	0	0	5	3	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Walter Ferretti	UNAN Managua
Rancho Santana FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
Real Esteli	1-4 L	1-1 D
Diriangen	1-3 L	1-1 D
Jalapa	0-1 L	2-1 W
Managua FC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UNAN Managua (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Walter Ferretti

WLLWDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	10	5	W
08/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
03/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	4-1	7	3	W
24/07	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/07	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
28/11	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
16/11	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
06/11	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
03/11	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
27/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	6	10	W

UNAN Managua

LWLLLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
10/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	6	12	D
28/07	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
18/07	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
23/11	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
06/11	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
02/11	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
27/10	Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
23/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-3	0-5	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Walter Ferretti win (49%). Probabilities: CD Walter Ferretti 49%, draw 26%, UNAN Managua 25%.

How many goals are expected in CD Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

The model expects 2.86 goals (CD Walter Ferretti 1.69 · UNAN Managua 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.