Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Padova U19 vs Reggiana U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Padova U191.57
Reggiana U191.57
1X2
Padova U19
Draw
Reggiana U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Padova U19
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Reggiana U19
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Padova U19
2–1–3
Reggiana U19
(6 last)
- Reggiana U191-1Padova U19
- Padova U190-3Reggiana U19
- Padova U190-1Reggiana U19
- Reggiana U191-2Padova U19
- Padova U195-0Reggiana U19
- Reggiana U191-0Padova U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Padova U19 1505 · Reggiana U19 1525
| Padova U19 | Draw | Reggiana U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Reggiana U19: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Padova U19 | Reggiana U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 2.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 3.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Padova U19 2–1–3 Reggiana U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Reggiana U19 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Padova U19 |
| 22/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Reggiana U19 |
| 19/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Reggiana U19 |
| 18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Reggiana U19 | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Padova U19 |
| 13/04/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 5-0 | Reggiana U19 |
| 13/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Reggiana U19 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Padova U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Padova U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Modena U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Cremonese U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Venezia U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vicenza U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Renate U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Virtus Entella U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mantova U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sampdoria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reggiana U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Lecco U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Udinese U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Padova U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia U19 | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Sampdoria U19 | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Renate U19 | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Union Brescia U19 | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Reggiana U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Padova U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Reggiana U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Padova U19 vs Reggiana U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Padova U19 win (37%). Probabilities: Padova U19 37%, draw 26%, Reggiana U19 37%.
How many goals are expected in Padova U19 vs Reggiana U19?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Padova U19 1.57 · Reggiana U19 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Padova U19 vs Reggiana U19?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.