Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Renate U19 vs Vicenza U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Renate U191.54
Vicenza U191.45
1X2
Renate U19
Draw
Vicenza U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Renate U19
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Vicenza U19
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Renate U19
3–2–1
Vicenza U19
(6 last)
- Renate U191-1Vicenza U19
- Vicenza U190-3Renate U19
- Vicenza U191-2Renate U19
- Renate U192-1Vicenza U19
- Renate U191-1Vicenza U19
- Vicenza U192-1Renate U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renate U19 1520 · Vicenza U19 1451
| Renate U19 | Draw | Vicenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renate U19 (rating 1520 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Renate U19: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Renate U19 | Vicenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.6 | 3.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renate U19 3–2–1 Vicenza U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vicenza U19 |
| 10/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Vicenza U19 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Renate U19 |
| 05/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Vicenza U19 | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Renate U19 |
| 21/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Vicenza U19 |
| 10/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vicenza U19 |
| 25/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Vicenza U19 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Renate U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Padova U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Modena U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Cremonese U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Venezia U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vicenza U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Renate U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Virtus Entella U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mantova U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sampdoria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reggiana U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Lecco U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Udinese U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Renate U19 | Vicenza U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana U19 | 3-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Virtus Entella U19 | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Cittadella U19 | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vicenza U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renate U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Vicenza U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/03 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/03 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renate U19 vs Vicenza U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Renate U19 win (39%). Probabilities: Renate U19 39%, draw 26%, Vicenza U19 35%.
How many goals are expected in Renate U19 vs Vicenza U19?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Renate U19 1.54 · Vicenza U19 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Renate U19 vs Vicenza U19?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.