Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Cittadella U191.16
Modena U191.58
1X2
Cittadella U19
Draw
Modena U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cittadella U19
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Modena U19
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cittadella U19
2–1–1
Modena U19
(4 last)
- Modena U191-1Cittadella U19
- Cittadella U190-2Modena U19
- Modena U193-4Cittadella U19
- Cittadella U191-0Modena U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cittadella U19 1419 · Modena U19 1551
| Cittadella U19 | Draw | Modena U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modena U19 (rating 1419 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Cittadella U19: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cittadella U19 | Modena U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/57/29% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cittadella U19 2–1–1 Modena U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Modena U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cittadella U19 |
| 06/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cittadella U19 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Modena U19 |
| 22/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Modena U19 | 3-4 | Cittadella U19 |
| 02/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cittadella U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Modena U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Padova U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Modena U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Cremonese U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Venezia U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vicenza U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Renate U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Virtus Entella U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mantova U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sampdoria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reggiana U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Cittadella U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Lecco U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Udinese U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cittadella U19 | Modena U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella U19 | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Pro Vercelli U19 | 0-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Sudtirol U19 | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Albinoleffe U19 | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Modena U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cittadella U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Modena U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Modena U19 win (46%). Probabilities: Cittadella U19 28%, draw 26%, Modena U19 46%.
How many goals are expected in Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Cittadella U19 1.16 · Modena U19 1.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cittadella U19 vs Modena U19?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.