Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 11:00
Prediction: Virtus Entella U19 vs Padova U19
Team pages: Virtus Entella U19 · Padova U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Virtus Entella U191.71
Padova U191
1X2
Virtus Entella U19
Draw
Padova U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Entella U19
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Padova U19
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virtus Entella U19
4–0
Padova U19
(4 last)
- Padova U190-1Virtus Entella U19
- Virtus Entella U192-0Padova U19
- Virtus Entella U191-0Padova U19
- Padova U190-5Virtus Entella U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virtus Entella U19 1533 · Padova U19 1529
| Virtus Entella U19 | Draw | Padova U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Virtus Entella U19: 4-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virtus Entella U19 | Padova U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/13/25% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Entella U19 4–0–0 Padova U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Virtus Entella U19 |
| 20/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Virtus Entella U19 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Padova U19 |
| 01/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Virtus Entella U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Padova U19 |
| 21/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Virtus Entella U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cremonese U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Padova U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Vicenza U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Renate U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sampdoria U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Modena U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Venezia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Union Brescia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Virtus Entella U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Cittadella U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Mantova U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Sudtirol U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Lecco U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Reggiana U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Udinese U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virtus Entella U19 | Padova U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria U19 | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Cittadella U19 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Reggiana U19 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Albinoleffe U19 | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Renate U19 | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Padova U19 (1 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virtus Entella U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 21/03 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/03 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Padova U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virtus Entella U19 vs Padova U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Virtus Entella U19 win (54%). Probabilities: Virtus Entella U19 54%, draw 25%, Padova U19 21%.
How many goals are expected in Virtus Entella U19 vs Padova U19?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Virtus Entella U19 1.71 · Padova U19 1), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Virtus Entella U19 vs Padova U19?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.