Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Reggiana U19 vs Venezia U19

Team pages: Reggiana U19 · Venezia U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Reggiana U191.33

Venezia U191.47

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Reggiana U19 Draw Venezia U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Reggiana U19 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLLDL

Venezia U19 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Reggiana U19 2–2–2 Venezia U19 (6 last)

Reggiana U195-1Venezia U19
Venezia U191-0Reggiana U19
Reggiana U191-1Venezia U19
Venezia U192-0Reggiana U19
Reggiana U192-1Venezia U19
Venezia U190-0Reggiana U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reggiana U19 1431 · Venezia U19 1527

	Reggiana U19	Draw	Venezia U19
Our model	33%	28%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Venezia U19 (rating 1431 vs 1527).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reggiana U19	Venezia U19
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:37 +40’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggiana U19 2–2–2 Venezia U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	5-1 HT 0-0	Venezia U19
06/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	1-0	Reggiana U19
28/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	1-1 HT 1-0	Venezia U19
19/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	2-0	Reggiana U19
24/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	2-1 HT 1-0	Venezia U19
25/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	0-0	Reggiana U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	7	4	3	0	20	9	15
2	Cremonese U19	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Renate U19	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
4	Venezia U19	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
5	Vicenza U19	7	3	3	1	11	6	12
6	Udinese U19	7	4	0	3	15	13	12
7	Virtus Entella U19	7	3	2	2	12	9	11
8	Lecco U19	7	3	2	2	8	11	11
9	Padova U19	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	Union Brescia U19	7	2	2	3	10	15	8
11	Cittadella U19	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
12	Mantova U19	7	1	4	2	8	12	7
13	Modena U19	7	1	2	4	11	14	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
15	Sudtirol U19	7	0	4	3	5	10	4
16	Reggiana U19	7	0	2	5	2	10	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reggiana U19	Venezia U19
Lecco U19	0-1 L	0-1 L
Modena U19	0-0 D	2-0 W
Sudtirol U19	0-0 D	2-1 W
Padova U19	0-1 L	0-1 L
Renate U19	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Venezia U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reggiana U19

DWLLLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/10	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
17/10	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
10/10	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
19/09	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/09	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
05/09	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
16/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
09/05	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
02/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	0	D

Venezia U19

WDLWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
24/10	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
19/09	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
12/09	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
05/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	5-2	4	6	W
23/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
16/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
09/05	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reggiana U19 vs Venezia U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Venezia U19 win (40%). Probabilities: Reggiana U19 34%, draw 26%, Venezia U19 40%.

How many goals are expected in Reggiana U19 vs Venezia U19?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Reggiana U19 1.33 · Venezia U19 1.47), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Reggiana U19 vs Venezia U19?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.