Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 11:00
Prediction: Sudtirol U19 vs Renate U19
Team pages: Sudtirol U19 · Renate U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Sudtirol U191.25
Renate U191.28
1X2
Sudtirol U19
Draw
Renate U19
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sudtirol U19
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Renate U19
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sudtirol U19
1–2–3
Renate U19
(6 last)
- Sudtirol U191-1Renate U19
- Renate U190-0Sudtirol U19
- Sudtirol U190-1Renate U19
- Renate U192-1Sudtirol U19
- Sudtirol U191-0Renate U19
- Renate U191-0Sudtirol U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sudtirol U19 1485 · Renate U19 1574
| Sudtirol U19 | Draw | Renate U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renate U19 (rating 1485 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Renate U19: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sudtirol U19 | Renate U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sudtirol U19 1–2–3 Renate U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Sudtirol U19 | 1-1 | Renate U19 |
| 20/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sudtirol U19 |
| 17/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Sudtirol U19 | 0-1 | Renate U19 |
| 18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sudtirol U19 |
| 09/03/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Sudtirol U19 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Renate U19 |
| 21/10/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Renate U19 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sudtirol U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sampdoria U19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Cremonese U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Renate U19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Venezia U19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Vicenza U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Udinese U19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Virtus Entella U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Lecco U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 11 | Cittadella U19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 12 | Mantova U19 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Modena U19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | Sudtirol U19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Reggiana U19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sudtirol U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia U19 | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Lecco U19 | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Reggiana U19 | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Vicenza U19 | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Union Brescia U19 | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Renate U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sudtirol U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Renate U19
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sudtirol U19 vs Renate U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Renate U19 win (37%). Probabilities: Sudtirol U19 35%, draw 28%, Renate U19 37%.
How many goals are expected in Sudtirol U19 vs Renate U19?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Sudtirol U19 1.25 · Renate U19 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sudtirol U19 vs Renate U19?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.