Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Renate U19 vs Union Brescia U19

Team pages: Renate U19 · Union Brescia U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Renate U192.18

Union Brescia U191.35

1X2

55% 22% 22%

Renate U19 Draw Union Brescia U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Renate U19 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLWDWDWW

Union Brescia U19 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Renate U19 3–2–1 Union Brescia U19 (6 last)

Union Brescia U190-1Renate U19
Renate U192-2Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U192-1Renate U19
Renate U192-0Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U191-1Renate U19
Renate U192-0Union Brescia U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Renate U19 1578 · Union Brescia U19 1458

	Renate U19	Draw	Union Brescia U19
Our model	55%	22%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renate U19 (rating 1578 vs 1458).
H2H favours Renate U19: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Renate U19	Union Brescia U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.5	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:05 +7’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Renate U19 3–2–1 Union Brescia U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	0-1 HT 0-0	Renate U19
22/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Renate U19	2-2	Union Brescia U19
25/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	2-1	Renate U19
05/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Renate U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Brescia U19
04/05/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	1-1 HT 0-0	Renate U19
13/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Renate U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Brescia U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Renate U19	6	4	2	0	13	6	14
2	Sampdoria U19	6	3	3	0	18	8	12
3	Vicenza U19	6	3	3	0	11	4	12
4	Cremonese U19	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
5	Venezia U19	6	3	1	2	11	9	10
6	Udinese U19	6	3	0	3	14	13	9
7	Padova U19	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
9	Lecco U19	6	2	2	2	7	11	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
11	Union Brescia U19	6	2	1	3	10	15	7
12	Mantova U19	6	1	3	2	7	11	6
13	Modena U19	6	1	2	3	11	12	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	1	2	3	6	11	5
15	Sudtirol U19	6	0	4	2	4	8	4
16	Reggiana U19	6	0	2	4	2	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Renate U19	Union Brescia U19
Lecco U19	4-1 W	1-3 L
Reggiana U19	3-1 W	1-4 L
Venezia U19	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Renate U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Renate U19

DDDLWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
17/10	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	8	0	W
10/10	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
05/09	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/04	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
18/04	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	3-3	6	6	D

Union Brescia U19

LWLLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
10/10	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/09	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
05/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
09/05	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
02/05	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/04	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
18/04	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Renate U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Renate U19 win (55%). Probabilities: Renate U19 55%, draw 22%, Union Brescia U19 22%.

How many goals are expected in Renate U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Renate U19 2.18 · Union Brescia U19 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Renate U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.