Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Venezia U19 vs Modena U19

Team pages: Venezia U19 · Modena U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Venezia U191.61

Modena U191.47

1X2

40% 25% 34%

Venezia U19 Draw Modena U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Venezia U19 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDLWW

Modena U19 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Venezia U19 0–1–3 Modena U19 (4 last)

Modena U194-2Venezia U19
Venezia U191-2Modena U19
Venezia U191-2Modena U19
Modena U192-2Venezia U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Venezia U19 1492 · Modena U19 1475

	Venezia U19	Draw	Modena U19
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Modena U19: 3-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Venezia U19	Modena U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +21’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia U19 0–1–3 Modena U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	4-2 HT 2-0	Venezia U19
22/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	1-2	Modena U19
19/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	1-2 HT 0-2	Modena U19
11/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	2-2 HT 2-0	Venezia U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Renate U19	6	4	2	0	13	6	14
2	Sampdoria U19	6	3	3	0	18	8	12
3	Vicenza U19	6	3	3	0	11	4	12
4	Cremonese U19	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
5	Venezia U19	6	3	1	2	11	9	10
6	Udinese U19	6	3	0	3	14	13	9
7	Padova U19	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
9	Lecco U19	6	2	2	2	7	11	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
11	Union Brescia U19	6	2	1	3	10	15	7
12	Mantova U19	6	1	3	2	7	11	6
13	Modena U19	6	1	2	3	11	12	5
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	1	2	3	6	11	5
15	Sudtirol U19	6	0	4	2	4	8	4
16	Reggiana U19	6	0	2	4	2	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Venezia U19	Modena U19
Union Brescia U19	1-1 D	1-2 L
Cremonese U19	1-3 L	0-2 L
Cittadella U19	5-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Venezia U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venezia U19

LWDLWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
19/09	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
12/09	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
05/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	5-2	4	6	W
23/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
16/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
09/05	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Modena U19

DDWLWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
17/10	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
10/10	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
19/09	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-4	8	3	D
12/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-4	6	3	L
05/09	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
30/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
23/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
16/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	14	6	D
09/05	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venezia U19 vs Modena U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Venezia U19 win (40%). Probabilities: Venezia U19 40%, draw 25%, Modena U19 34%.

How many goals are expected in Venezia U19 vs Modena U19?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Venezia U19 1.61 · Modena U19 1.47), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Venezia U19 vs Modena U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.