Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Pro Vercelli U19 vs Lecco U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Pro Vercelli U191.73

Lecco U192

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Pro Vercelli U19 Draw Lecco U19

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Pro Vercelli U19 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDLDL

Lecco U19 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Pro Vercelli U19 1–3–2 Lecco U19 (6 last)

Pro Vercelli U191-2Lecco U19
Lecco U194-1Pro Vercelli U19
Pro Vercelli U192-0Lecco U19
Pro Vercelli U190-0Lecco U19
Pro Vercelli U192-2Lecco U19
Lecco U194-4Pro Vercelli U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli U19 1472 · Lecco U19 1496

	Pro Vercelli U19	Draw	Lecco U19
Our model	33%	23%	44%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lecco U19: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pro Vercelli U19	Lecco U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	1.9 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.8	3.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +4’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli U19 1–3–2 Lecco U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pro Vercelli U19	1-2 HT 0-1	Lecco U19
04/10/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Lecco U19	4-1 HT 3-0	Pro Vercelli U19
10/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pro Vercelli U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Lecco U19
25/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Pro Vercelli U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Lecco U19
11/02/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Pro Vercelli U19	2-2 HT 2-2	Lecco U19
22/10/22 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Lecco U19	4-4 HT 4-3	Pro Vercelli U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Padova U19	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
1	Modena U19	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
1	Cremonese U19	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
4	Venezia U19	1	1	0	0	5	2	3
5	Vicenza U19	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
6	Renate U19	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
6	Virtus Entella U19	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
8	Mantova U19	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
8	Sampdoria U19	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	Reggiana U19	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
10	Union Brescia U19	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
12	Cittadella U19	1	0	0	1	2	5	0
13	Sudtirol U19	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
14	Lecco U19	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
14	Pro Vercelli U19	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
14	Udinese U19	1	0	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pro Vercelli U19	Lecco U19
Albinoleffe U19	2-2 D	1-5 L
Sampdoria U19	1-4 L	1-3 L
Renate U19	2-2 D	3-3 D
Udinese U19	0-4 L	4-1 W
Sudtirol U19	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lecco U19 (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli U19

LWWWWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	0-4	2	5	L
09/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
02/05	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/04	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	0	2	D
18/04	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-4	11	1	L
11/04	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
03/04	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
21/03	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/03	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
07/03	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-4	5	3	L

Lecco U19

LDWDWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-5	8	0	L
16/05	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
09/05	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	8	10	L
02/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/04	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
18/04	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-3	8	6	D
11/04	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	4-1	10	1	W
04/04	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
21/03	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-3	2-5	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Lecco U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lecco U19 win (43%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli U19 33%, draw 24%, Lecco U19 43%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Lecco U19?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Pro Vercelli U19 1.73 · Lecco U19 2), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Lecco U19?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.