Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 07/11, 11:00
Prediction: Spezia U19 vs Cosenza U19
Team pages: Spezia U19 · Cosenza U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Spezia U192.24
Cosenza U191.07
1X2
Spezia U19
Draw
Cosenza U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Spezia U19
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Cosenza U19
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spezia U19
2–1–3
Cosenza U19
(6 last)
- Spezia U193-2Cosenza U19
- Cosenza U191-0Spezia U19
- Cosenza U191-1Spezia U19
- Spezia U190-2Cosenza U19
- Spezia U191-2Cosenza U19
- Cosenza U190-2Spezia U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spezia U19 1464 · Cosenza U19 1446
| Spezia U19 | Draw | Cosenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cosenza U19: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spezia U19 | Cosenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 67/17/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spezia U19 2–1–3 Cosenza U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 22/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 1-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 01/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 26/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 13/04/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 1-2 | Cosenza U19 |
| 26/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spezia U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Benevento U19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Perugia U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Monopoli U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Bari U19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino U19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Spezia U19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Pisa U19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | Cosenza U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 4 |
| 15 | Ascoli U19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spezia U19 | Cosenza U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Latina U19 | 1-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Monopoli U19 | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Benevento U19 | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spezia U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spezia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 24/10 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Cosenza U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spezia U19 vs Cosenza U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spezia U19 win (63%). Probabilities: Spezia U19 63%, draw 21%, Cosenza U19 16%.
How many goals are expected in Spezia U19 vs Cosenza U19?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Spezia U19 2.24 · Cosenza U19 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spezia U19 vs Cosenza U19?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.