Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 31/10, 14:30
Prediction: Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19
Team pages: Ascoli U19 · Avellino U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Ascoli U191.59
Avellino U191.7
1X2
Ascoli U19
Draw
Avellino U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ascoli U19
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Avellino U19
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ascoli U19
3–1–2
Avellino U19
(6 last)
- Ascoli U191-2Avellino U19
- Avellino U191-1Ascoli U19
- Ascoli U193-0Avellino U19
- Avellino U192-1Ascoli U19
- Avellino U191-4Ascoli U19
- Ascoli U193-2Avellino U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ascoli U19 1421 · Avellino U19 1519
| Ascoli U19 | Draw | Avellino U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avellino U19 (rating 1421 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Ascoli U19: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ascoli U19 | Avellino U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/44/44% | 0/57/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 1.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ascoli U19 3–1–2 Avellino U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Avellino U19 |
| 29/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Avellino U19 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ascoli U19 |
| 01/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Avellino U19 |
| 19/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Avellino U19 | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ascoli U19 |
| 11/02/18 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Avellino U19 | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Ascoli U19 |
| 30/09/17 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 3-2 | Avellino U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Palermo U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Benevento U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Monopoli U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Pescara U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Bari U19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Avellino U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Latina U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Spezia U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 13 | Frosinone U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | Ascoli U19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 2 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ascoli U19 | Avellino U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Monopoli U19 | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Napoli U19 | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Perugia U19 | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Catanzaro U19 | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Avellino U19 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ascoli U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Avellino U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Avellino U19 win (40%). Probabilities: Ascoli U19 35%, draw 25%, Avellino U19 40%.
How many goals are expected in Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Ascoli U19 1.59 · Avellino U19 1.7), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ascoli U19 vs Avellino U19?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.