Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Benevento U19 vs Perugia U19

Team pages: Benevento U19 · Perugia U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Benevento U191.61

Perugia U191.52

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Benevento U19 Draw Perugia U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Benevento U19 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWDW

Perugia U19 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Benevento U19 3–2–1 Perugia U19 (6 last)

Benevento U192-2Perugia U19
Perugia U192-1Benevento U19
Perugia U191-1Benevento U19
Benevento U193-0Perugia U19
Benevento U195-1Perugia U19
Perugia U191-2Benevento U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benevento U19 1536 · Perugia U19 1567

	Benevento U19	Draw	Perugia U19
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Benevento U19: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Benevento U19	Perugia U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	2.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.4	4.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +19’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Benevento U19 3–2–1 Perugia U19

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	2-2	Perugia U19
17/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Perugia U19	2-1 HT 1-0	Benevento U19
10/05/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Perugia U19	1-1 HT 0-1	Benevento U19
14/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	3-0 HT 1-0	Perugia U19
10/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	5-1 HT 4-1	Perugia U19
30/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Perugia U19	1-2	Benevento U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	6	6	0	0	17	4	18
2	Perugia U19	6	5	0	1	18	3	15
3	Palermo U19	6	4	2	0	11	6	14
4	Benevento U19	6	4	1	1	19	7	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
6	Pescara U19	6	3	2	1	15	11	11
7	Bari U19	6	2	3	1	9	5	9
8	Avellino U19	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
9	Latina U19	6	2	2	2	13	10	8
10	Napoli U19	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
11	Pisa U19	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
12	Spezia U19	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	1	1	4	4	18	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	0	2	4	7	16	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	0	1	5	5	18	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	0	1	5	5	22	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Benevento U19	Perugia U19
Avellino U19	5-2 W	1-0 W
Monopoli U19	2-2 D	3-0 W
Salernitana U19	3-0 W	6-0 W
Frosinone U19	3-0 W	5-0 W
Pisa U19	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Perugia U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benevento U19

WWLWWLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	5-2	4	2	W
17/10	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
10/10	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-0	11	3	W
19/09	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	5-0	–	–	W
12/09	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
05/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-0	8	6	W
09/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
02/05	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-5	5	5	L
25/04	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Perugia U19

WWWLWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	5-0	7	2	W
17/10	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
10/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	5-0	6-0	4	4	W
12/09	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-0	–	–	W
04/09	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-2	7	5	W
23/05	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
16/05	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
09/05	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
02/05	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benevento U19 vs Perugia U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benevento U19 win (39%). Probabilities: Benevento U19 39%, draw 26%, Perugia U19 35%.

How many goals are expected in Benevento U19 vs Perugia U19?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Benevento U19 1.61 · Perugia U19 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Benevento U19 vs Perugia U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.