Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Palermo U19 vs Catanzaro U19

Team pages: Palermo U19 · Catanzaro U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Palermo U191.32

Catanzaro U191.58

1X2

31% 27% 43%

Palermo U19 Draw Catanzaro U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Palermo U19 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWDDWW

Catanzaro U19 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Palermo U19 1–5–0 Catanzaro U19 (6 last)

Palermo U191-1Catanzaro U19
Catanzaro U191-1Palermo U19
Palermo U193-0Catanzaro U19
Catanzaro U191-1Palermo U19
Catanzaro U191-1Palermo U19
Catanzaro U190-0Palermo U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palermo U19 1545 · Catanzaro U19 1569

	Palermo U19	Draw	Catanzaro U19
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palermo U19	Catanzaro U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	2.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +20’	2.90	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo U19 1–5–0 Catanzaro U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Palermo U19	1-1 HT 0-0	Catanzaro U19
20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Catanzaro U19	1-1 HT 1-0	Palermo U19
25/03/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Palermo U19	3-0 HT 1-0	Catanzaro U19
03/12/22 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Catanzaro U19	1-1 HT 0-0	Palermo U19
26/03/22 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Catanzaro U19	1-1 HT 0-1	Palermo U19
20/11/21 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Catanzaro U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Palermo U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	6	6	0	0	17	4	18
2	Perugia U19	6	5	0	1	18	3	15
3	Palermo U19	6	4	2	0	11	6	14
4	Benevento U19	6	4	1	1	19	7	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
6	Pescara U19	6	3	2	1	15	11	11
7	Bari U19	6	2	3	1	9	5	9
8	Avellino U19	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
9	Latina U19	6	2	2	2	13	10	8
10	Napoli U19	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
11	Pisa U19	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
12	Spezia U19	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	1	1	4	4	18	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	0	2	4	7	16	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	0	1	5	5	18	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	0	1	5	5	22	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palermo U19	Catanzaro U19
Frosinone U19	0-0 D	6-0 W
Avellino U19	1-3 L	2-1 W
Crotone U19	7-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Catanzaro U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palermo U19

WDLLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-1	6	12	W
17/10	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
10/10	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
12/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
08/09	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-1	6	0	W
09/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-3	8	6	L
25/04	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	7-1	1	0	W

Catanzaro U19

WDWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
10/10	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
19/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	6-0	7	1	W
12/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	4	7	W
05/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
09/05	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
25/04	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-2	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palermo U19 vs Catanzaro U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Catanzaro U19 win (43%). Probabilities: Palermo U19 31%, draw 27%, Catanzaro U19 43%.

How many goals are expected in Palermo U19 vs Catanzaro U19?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Palermo U19 1.32 · Catanzaro U19 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Palermo U19 vs Catanzaro U19?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.