Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 01/11, 11:00
Prediction: Pescara U19 vs Spezia U19
Team pages: Pescara U19 · Spezia U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Pescara U192.27
Spezia U191.42
1X2
Pescara U19
Draw
Spezia U19
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Pescara U19
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Spezia U19
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pescara U19
1–3–2
Spezia U19
(6 last)
- Pescara U191-1Spezia U19
- Spezia U194-3Pescara U19
- Spezia U190-3Pescara U19
- Pescara U190-0Spezia U19
- Spezia U195-0Pescara U19
- Pescara U192-2Spezia U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pescara U19 1529 · Spezia U19 1439
| Pescara U19 | Draw | Spezia U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pescara U19 (rating 1529 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Spezia U19: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pescara U19 | Spezia U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pescara U19 1–3–2 Spezia U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 13/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Pescara U19 |
| 08/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Pescara U19 |
| 30/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 06/09/24 Italy Primavera Cup | Spezia U19 | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Pescara U19 |
| 06/04/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pescara U19 | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Spezia U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Palermo U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Benevento U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Monopoli U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Pescara U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Bari U19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Avellino U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Latina U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Spezia U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 13 | Frosinone U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | Ascoli U19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 2 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pescara U19 | Spezia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli U19 | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Monopoli U19 | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Benevento U19 | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Palermo U19 | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Ternana U19 | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pescara U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pescara U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/09 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
Spezia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pescara U19 vs Spezia U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pescara U19 win (56%). Probabilities: Pescara U19 56%, draw 22%, Spezia U19 23%.
How many goals are expected in Pescara U19 vs Spezia U19?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Pescara U19 2.27 · Spezia U19 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pescara U19 vs Spezia U19?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.