Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 01/11, 11:00

Prediction: Pisa U19 vs Bari U19

Team pages: Pisa U19 · Bari U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Pisa U191.67

Bari U191.42

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Pisa U19 Draw Bari U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pisa U19 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLLWL

Bari U19 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWDDDL

Head-to-head

Pisa U19 2–3–1 Bari U19 (6 last)

Pisa U192-1Bari U19
Bari U191-1Pisa U19
Pisa U192-1Bari U19
Bari U190-0Pisa U19
Bari U195-4Pisa U19
Pisa U191-1Bari U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pisa U19 1474 · Bari U19 1541

	Pisa U19	Draw	Bari U19
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bari U19 (rating 1474 vs 1541).
H2H favours Pisa U19: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pisa U19	Bari U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	44/56/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +11’	2.10	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pisa U19 2–3–1 Bari U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	2-1 HT 2-1	Bari U19
19/10/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	1-1	Pisa U19
13/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	2-1 HT 1-0	Bari U19
08/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Pisa U19
10/03/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	5-4 HT 5-2	Pisa U19
13/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	1-1 HT 0-0	Bari U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	6	6	0	0	17	4	18
2	Perugia U19	6	5	0	1	18	3	15
3	Palermo U19	6	4	2	0	11	6	14
4	Benevento U19	6	4	1	1	19	7	13
5	Monopoli U19	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
6	Pescara U19	6	3	2	1	15	11	11
7	Bari U19	6	2	3	1	9	5	9
8	Avellino U19	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
9	Latina U19	6	2	2	2	13	10	8
10	Napoli U19	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
11	Pisa U19	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
12	Spezia U19	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
13	Frosinone U19	6	1	1	4	4	18	4
14	Ascoli U19	6	0	2	4	7	16	2
15	Cosenza U19	6	0	1	5	5	18	1
16	Salernitana U19	6	0	1	5	5	22	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pisa U19	Bari U19
Ascoli U19	4-1 W	2-1 W
Napoli U19	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pisa U19

WLWDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
17/10	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
10/10	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
19/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
12/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
04/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
16/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
09/05	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
02/05	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	9	1	L
25/04	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	5	3	W

Bari U19

DWWLWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	12	4	L
17/10	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
10/10	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
19/09	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
05/09	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
09/05	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
02/05	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-0	6	1	W
18/04	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pisa U19 vs Bari U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pisa U19 win (43%). Probabilities: Pisa U19 43%, draw 25%, Bari U19 32%.

How many goals are expected in Pisa U19 vs Bari U19?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Pisa U19 1.67 · Bari U19 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pisa U19 vs Bari U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.