Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 17/10, 12:00
Prediction: Pisa U19 vs Ascoli U19
Team pages: Pisa U19 · Ascoli U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Pisa U191.99
Ascoli U191.62
1X2
Pisa U19
Draw
Ascoli U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Pisa U19
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Ascoli U19
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pisa U19
3–1–2
Ascoli U19
(6 last)
- Pisa U193-2Ascoli U19
- Ascoli U191-1Pisa U19
- Pisa U193-1Ascoli U19
- Ascoli U194-2Pisa U19
- Pisa U191-0Ascoli U19
- Ascoli U192-0Pisa U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pisa U19 1484 · Ascoli U19 1418
| Pisa U19 | Draw | Ascoli U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pisa U19 (rating 1484 vs 1418).
- H2H favours Pisa U19: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pisa U19 | Ascoli U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pisa U19 3–1–2 Ascoli U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pisa U19 | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Ascoli U19 |
| 01/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pisa U19 |
| 22/02/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pisa U19 | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Ascoli U19 |
| 26/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Pisa U19 |
| 20/04/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Pisa U19 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ascoli U19 |
| 04/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Ascoli U19 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pisa U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Avellino U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Latina U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pisa U19 | Ascoli U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli U19 | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Spezia U19 | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Perugia U19 | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Empoli U19 | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Catanzaro U19 | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ascoli U19 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pisa U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Ascoli U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pisa U19 vs Ascoli U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pisa U19 win (45%). Probabilities: Pisa U19 45%, draw 24%, Ascoli U19 30%.
How many goals are expected in Pisa U19 vs Ascoli U19?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Pisa U19 1.99 · Ascoli U19 1.62), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pisa U19 vs Ascoli U19?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.