Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Sollentuna United FF vs FC Järfälla

Team pages: Sollentuna United FF · FC Järfälla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Sollentuna United FF1.61

FC Järfälla1.49

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Sollentuna United FF Draw FC Järfälla

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sollentuna United FF 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Järfälla 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sollentuna United FF 1–0 FC Järfälla (1 last)

FC Järfälla0-1Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sollentuna United FF 1448 · FC Järfälla 1445

	Sollentuna United FF	Draw	FC Järfälla
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sollentuna United FF	FC Järfälla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	1.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +2’	2.45	3.50	2.38
00:08 +68’	2.25▼	3.50	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sollentuna United FF 1–0–0 FC Järfälla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Järfälla	0-1 HT 0-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	16	11	3	2	44	13	36
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	16	11	3	2	28	11	36
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	32	16	30
4	FC Arlanda	16	8	6	2	24	15	30
5	Enkopings SK	16	9	1	6	27	26	28
6	AFC Eskilstuna	16	7	4	5	27	25	25
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	24	23	25
8	Karlbergs BK	16	6	3	7	26	25	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	16	5	5	6	27	29	20
10	Vasalunds IF	16	5	4	7	23	31	19
11	Gefle IF	16	5	2	9	19	34	17
12	Umeå FC	16	4	4	8	21	28	16
13	FC Järfälla	16	4	3	9	22	35	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	16	2	8	6	13	23	14
15	IFK Stocksund	16	2	5	9	33	38	11
16	Piteå IF	16	2	4	10	16	34	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sollentuna United FF	FC Järfälla
Vasalunds IF	1-1 D	1-3 L
IFK Stocksund	1-1 D	1-6 L
Karlbergs BK	1-2 L	3-1 W
Umeå FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-0 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sollentuna United FF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
25/07	IFK Stocksund Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
21/07	Karlbergs BK Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	4	0	L
26/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
07/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
03/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden Cup Qualification	3-0	5-0	13	2	W
30/05	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

FC Järfälla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	6	2	L
01/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
28/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
23/06	FC Arlanda Sweden Cup	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
08/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	1-6	1	7	L
03/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
23/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-0	7	4	W
16/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Järfälla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sollentuna United FF win (40%). Probabilities: Sollentuna United FF 40%, draw 26%, FC Järfälla 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Järfälla?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Sollentuna United FF 1.61 · FC Järfälla 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Järfälla?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.