Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 23/08, 13:00

Prediction: Umeå FC vs Enkopings SK

Team pages: Umeå FC · Enkopings SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Umeå FC1.49

Enkopings SK1.33

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Umeå FC Draw Enkopings SK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Umeå FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLLLLL

Enkopings SK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLWL

Head-to-head

Umeå FC 0–1 Enkopings SK (1 last)

Enkopings SK3-1Umeå FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Umeå FC 1434 · Enkopings SK 1491

	Umeå FC	Draw	Enkopings SK
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enkopings SK (rating 1434 vs 1491).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Umeå FC	Enkopings SK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	1.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.24
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.55
2	2.75 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.75 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:51 +6’	2.10	3.60	2.75
20:05 +13’	2.15▲	3.50▼	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:28	2.21	3.47	2.70
11:22 +1’	2.24▲	3.55▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Umeå FC 0–0–1 Enkopings SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	3-1 HT 1-0	Umeå FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	17	11	3	3	44	14	36
2	FC Stockholm Internazionale	18	11	3	4	38	17	36
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	17	11	3	3	28	13	36
4	FC Arlanda	17	8	6	3	25	19	30
5	AFC Eskilstuna	17	8	4	5	28	25	28
6	FBK Karlstad	17	8	4	5	26	23	28
7	Enkopings SK	17	9	1	7	27	28	28
8	Karlbergs BK	17	7	3	7	28	25	24
9	Assyriska Föreningen	17	6	5	6	29	29	23
10	Vasalunds IF	17	5	5	7	24	32	20
11	Gefle IF	17	6	2	9	21	34	20
12	Sollentuna United FF	17	3	8	6	15	24	17
13	Umeå FC	17	4	4	9	21	30	16
14	FC Järfälla	18	4	3	11	23	39	15
15	IFK Stocksund	17	2	5	10	33	40	11
16	Piteå IF	17	2	5	10	17	35	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Umeå FC	Enkopings SK
Piteå IF	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sollentuna United FF	1-1 D	1-0 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-2 L	1-2 L
FBK Karlstad	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Enkopings SK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Umeå FC

DLDDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
09/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
02/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
28/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
21/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
12/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
07/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
31/05	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
17/05	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Enkopings SK

WLLWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
07/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
14/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
02/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	4	4	L
23/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/05	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Umeå FC vs Enkopings SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Umeå FC win (41%). Probabilities: Umeå FC 41%, draw 26%, Enkopings SK 33%.

How many goals are expected in Umeå FC vs Enkopings SK?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Umeå FC 1.49 · Enkopings SK 1.33), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Umeå FC vs Enkopings SK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.