Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 23/08, 13:00
Prediction: Vasalunds IF vs IFK Stocksund
Team pages: Vasalunds IF · IFK Stocksund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Vasalunds IF2.25
IFK Stocksund1.42
1X2
Vasalunds IF
Draw
IFK Stocksund
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vasalunds IF
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
IFK Stocksund
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vasalunds IF
4–1–1
IFK Stocksund
(6 last)
- IFK Stocksund2-2Vasalunds IF
- IFK Stocksund2-1Vasalunds IF
- IFK Stocksund1-7Vasalunds IF
- Vasalunds IF3-1IFK Stocksund
- Vasalunds IF7-1IFK Stocksund
- Vasalunds IF6-2IFK Stocksund
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasalunds IF 1504 · IFK Stocksund 1458
| Vasalunds IF | Draw | IFK Stocksund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasalunds IF (rating 1504 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Vasalunds IF: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasalunds IF | IFK Stocksund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasalunds IF 4–1–1 IFK Stocksund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra | IFK Stocksund | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Vasalunds IF |
| 28/03/26 Club Friendly List | IFK Stocksund | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Vasalunds IF |
| 09/11/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | IFK Stocksund | 1-7 HT 0-3 | Vasalunds IF |
| 13/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 3-1 HT 2-1 | IFK Stocksund |
| 16/02/25 Club Friendly List | Vasalunds IF | 7-1 HT 1-0 | IFK Stocksund |
| 21/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 6-2 HT 4-1 | IFK Stocksund |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby TFF | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Karlbergs BK | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Assyriska Föreningen | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 29 | 23 |
| 10 | Vasalunds IF | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 20 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 20 |
| 12 | Sollentuna United FF | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 17 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Järfälla | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 39 | 15 |
| 15 | IFK Stocksund | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå IF | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vasalunds IF | IFK Stocksund |
|---|---|---|
| Piteå IF | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Sollentuna United FF | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Assyriska Föreningen | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Karlbergs BK | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Järfälla | 3-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Stocksund (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasalunds IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/06 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
IFK Stocksund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasalunds IF vs IFK Stocksund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasalunds IF win (55%). Probabilities: Vasalunds IF 55%, draw 22%, IFK Stocksund 23%.
How many goals are expected in Vasalunds IF vs IFK Stocksund?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Vasalunds IF 2.25 · IFK Stocksund 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasalunds IF vs IFK Stocksund?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.