Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 23/08, 16:00
Prediction: Hammarby TFF vs Piteå IF
Team pages: Hammarby TFF · Piteå IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Hammarby TFF2.8
Piteå IF0.84
1X2
Hammarby TFF
Draw
Piteå IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby TFF
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Piteå IF
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hammarby TFF
6–0
Piteå IF
(6 last)
- Piteå IF1-4Hammarby TFF
- Piteå IF1-4Hammarby TFF
- Hammarby TFF5-1Piteå IF
- Piteå IF1-2Hammarby TFF
- Hammarby TFF3-1Piteå IF
- Piteå IF1-2Hammarby TFF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hammarby TFF 1578 · Piteå IF 1438
| Hammarby TFF | Draw | Piteå IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| Market | 78% | 13% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby TFF (rating 1578 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Hammarby TFF: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby TFF | Piteå IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby TFF 6–0–0 Piteå IF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Hammarby TFF |
| 09/11/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 1-4 HT 1-4 | Hammarby TFF |
| 26/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Hammarby TFF | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Piteå IF |
| 27/08/23 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Hammarby TFF |
| 01/05/23 Sweden 1.div Norra | Hammarby TFF | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Piteå IF |
| 09/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Hammarby TFF |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby TFF | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Karlbergs BK | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Assyriska Föreningen | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 29 | 23 |
| 10 | Vasalunds IF | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 20 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 20 |
| 12 | Sollentuna United FF | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 17 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Järfälla | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 39 | 15 |
| 15 | IFK Stocksund | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå IF | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby TFF | Piteå IF |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Eskilstuna | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Arlanda | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Karlbergs BK | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Gefle IF | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Enkopings SK | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Stockholm Internazionale | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby TFF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby TFF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/08 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Piteå IF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby TFF vs Piteå IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby TFF win (78%). Probabilities: Hammarby TFF 78%, draw 14%, Piteå IF 8%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby TFF vs Piteå IF?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Hammarby TFF 2.8 · Piteå IF 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby TFF vs Piteå IF?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.