Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 16/08, 23:00

Prediction: Palmeiras (W) vs EC Juventude (W)

Team pages: Palmeiras (W) · EC Juventude (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Palmeiras (W)2.3
EC Juventude (W)0.3
1X2
85% 12% 3%
Palmeiras (W) Draw EC Juventude (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Palmeiras (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
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EC Juventude (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Palmeiras (W) 1–0 EC Juventude (W) (1 last)
  • EC Juventude (W)0-4Palmeiras (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palmeiras (W) 1593 · EC Juventude (W) 1438
Palmeiras (W)DrawEC Juventude (W)
Our model82%15%3%
Market87%10%4%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (W) (rating 1593 vs 1438).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Palmeiras (W)EC Juventude (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.40.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.10 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 6.31.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 03.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras (W) 100 EC Juventude (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/04/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
EC Juventude (W)0-4
HT 0-2
Palmeiras (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 151212 401437
2 Sao Paulo (W) 151122 251035
3 Palmeiras (W) 15951 291132
4 Bahia (W) 15834 271827
5 Ferroviaria (W) 15762 201227
6 Gremio (W) 15735 221424
7 Internacional (W) 15735 171424
8 Cruzeiro (W) 15663 281824
9 Flamengo (W) 15663 221724
10 Fluminense RJ (W) 15645 181722
11 Bragantino (W) 15627 222320
12 Santos (W) 15555 181920
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 15348 142113
14 Mixto EC (W) 15267 92412
15 EC Juventude (W) 15249 71710
16 America MG (W) 151410 7287
17 EC Vitoria (W) 151410 12377
18 Botafogo (W) 151212 9325

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPalmeiras (W)EC Juventude (W)
Ferroviaria (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Internacional (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
Corinthians (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Mixto EC (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Sao Paulo (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Palmeiras (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palmeiras (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Taubate (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 101 W
08/08 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 19 D
02/08 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 2-1 91 W
30/07 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-0 52 W
25/07 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 83 D
18/07 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 51 W
13/07 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
3-0 3-1 33 W
10/07 Paraguay (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
2-0 3-0 90 W
30/05 Corinthians (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-1 76 L
24/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 2-1 66 W

EC Juventude (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 73 L
02/08 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-4 22 L
26/07 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/05 Botafogo (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-3 105 L
24/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 34 D
19/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 55 W
01/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
26/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
21/04 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palmeiras (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Palmeiras (W) 85%, draw 12%, EC Juventude (W) 3%.

How many goals are expected in Palmeiras (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Palmeiras (W) 2.3 · EC Juventude (W) 0.3), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.